Internet i Instagram ujednacuju fertilitet diljem svijeta.

Svi danas zivimo u jednom velikom istom gradu.

Jedino da ih naselimo iz Latinske Amerike, jer Europa nema koga tu naseliti više...

Lik se javio Klixu u vezi korone. Vjerojatno je prijavio i djecu u Sarajevu. Eto kako nestanu do škole.

Baš tako.

Vjerojatno imaju i famozno Nebulino zdravstveno osiguranje u BiH.

Znači, patriJota iseli s obitelji u Švedsku. Digne kredit, kupi stan u Sarajevu. Prijavi se i u Sarajevu iako živi u Švedskoj. Kad mu se rodi dijete ima pravo godinu dana primati 266 KM.

I još bere dječji dodatak Kanton Sarajevo.

Možda krade, ali je probosanski orijentiran.

Dodik i Čović su krivi što to tako rade. Da oni ne blokiraju Švedsku, ne bi probosanci imali potrebu krasti.

Je li objavljeno za Tuzlu?

Za par dana fzs objavljuje za sve.

Majka Turska, broj rodjenih


2016: 1,314,764
2017: 1,297,638
2019: 1,252,745
2019: 1,183,652

Slijedi vec za 5-6 godina pocetak velikog pada broja stanovnista. Etnicki Turci vec 15-20 godina imaju problema s fertilitetom. Kurdi su na drzavnom nivou drzali brojke.

Prirodni prirastaj Turske pao sa 1 milijun na 700 000, otkako je otvorena ova tema.

Pitanje je koliko tome doprinose etnicki Turci, vjerojatno minimalno, mozda 200k ili 300k.

Za 5 godina vjerujem da Turci idu u negativan prirastaj, sa 1.6 fertilitetom nece se dugo kititi starim lovorikama i naslijedjenom mladoscu, no i dalje ce manjine poboljsavati vitalnu sliku drzave i sama drzava nece imati negativan prirastaj jos bar 20 godina.

Stopa nataliteta Turske (skupa s Kurdima i Arapima) je pala sa 18 na 14 promila otkako je tema otvorena, etnicki Turci vjerojatno imaju samo 10 promila jer im je fertilitet skoro duplo manji od Kurda i Arapa.

Turska je najslicnija Makedoniji.
Turci=Makedonci
Kurdi i Arapi = Albanci

05/2020

Are the Kurds the Next Kingmakers in Turkey?


https://besacenter.org/perspectives-pap ... ingmakers/

Between 1994 and 2015, the Kurdish vote in Turkey rose from 4.1% to 13.1%. A greying Turkey is facing a baby boom in Kurdistan: the Kurdish fertility rate, at 3.41, is a demographic weapon against the Turkish fertility rate of 2.09. These numbers suggest that Kurds could be the kingmakers in Turkey’s presidential election in 2023.

The recipe for the spread of political Islam, as founded by ideologues like Hasan Banna and Sayyid Qutb, is well-known: win Muslim hearts and minds by establishing and spreading religious, welfare, and educational institutions and facilities. The object is to create a classless, populist network that will ultimately legitimize political Islam at the ballot box. You cannot defeat the enemy by guns and artillery, but you can do it with headcount.

Turkey was no exception to the principle of Islamist ascendency via demographics. For decades, Turkey’s secular, better-educated modern families (which Recep Tayyip Erdoğan would later call the ”white Turks”) sufficed with one or two children in the family while pious, less educated, lower- and middle-class Muslims Turks were the baby boomers. In November 2002, the “white Turks” had to face that they were no longer the majority in their country. The “black Turks” had come to power.

But now, 18 years later, the “black Turks” have become the new “white Turks.” Ignoring their leader’s campaigns imploring them to produce “at least three children in every Turkish family,” they are now facing the same demographic threat with which they once captured power: a greying Turkey versus a baby boom in Kurdistan.

Kurdish votes in Turkey came under the institutional umbrella of a political party for the first time in 1994. The pro-Kurdish Peoples’ Democracy Party (HADEP) won 1.1 million votes (4.1% of the national vote) in parliamentary elections in 1995 and 1.4 million votes (4.8% of the vote) in 1999. HADEP failed to win parliamentary representation as it failed to pass the 10% national threshold.

In 2002, HADEP’s successor, the Democratic People’s Party (DEHAP), won 6.2% of the vote in the elections that brought Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) to power with 34% of the national vote. In 2007 the Kurds changed tack and entered the race with independent candidates instead of a party that would surely fail to pass the 10% threshold. Independent Kurds won 5% of the vote and 20 seats in the Turkish parliament. The threshold was no longer meaningful to stop Kurdish representation in parliament. In 2011, Kurdish independents won 6.6% of the national vote and 35 parliament seats.

On June 7, 2015, the Kurds, this time under the corporate umbrella of a new political party, the People’s Democracy Party (HDP), won 13.1% of the vote and 80 seats. The “Kurdish miracle” deprived the ruling AKP of its parliamentary majority for the first time since it came to power in 2002. Most recently, in municipal elections in 2019, the Kurdish vote cost AKP its crown jewel. Ekrem Imamoğlu, an opposition candidate, defeated AKP’s Binali Yıldırım by a margin of 800,000 votes.

As the Islamists lost Turkey’s biggest city for the first time in a quarter century, Erdoğan had cause had to lament his motto, “He who wins Istanbul wins Turkey.” Millions of Kurdish voters in Istanbul had become kingmakers.

There is more data to augment Erdogan’s concerns about the 2023 elections and beyond. In a May 2015 presentation, A. Banu Ergöçmen of Hacettepe University’s Institute of Population Studies in Ankara highlighted the Kurds’ demographic advantage over Turks. She found the total fertility rate in eastern and southeastern Kurdish-speaking Turkey was 3.41 versus an average of 2.09 in the non-eastern, Turkish-speaking areas.

In 2018, the number of healthy births in Turkey dropped by 3.6% to 1.248 million from 1.295 million in 2017. The total fertility rate fell to 1.99 from 2.07—a particularly worrying figure, as it is below the replacement rate of 2.1. According to official statistics, in 2018 the highest fertility rates in Turkey were in Urfa (4.13), Şırnak (3.6), Ağrı (3.26), and Mus (3.23). All four provinces are predominantly Kurdish. In contrast, the lowest fertility rates were in overwhelmingly Turkish provinces: Gümüshane (1.3), Kütahya, Zonguldak, and Edirne (1.43).

In 2018, three Turkish academics, Olgu Aydın, Pınar Aslantas Baskan, and Ertuğrul Murat Özgür, found that:

There is a positive relation between the rate of illiterate women and the total fertility rate. In other words, as the rate of illiteracy increases, there is also an increase in the total fertility rate. This feature prevails in Turkey’s Eastern and Southeastern regions. The fact that the literacy rate is very low for women clearly shows that there is gender discrimination in these regions. The negative relationship between fertility and education level shows that as the education level increases, there is a decrease in the total fertility rate. Women living in urban areas are more educated than the ones living in rural areas in Turkey. This situation results in a decrease in the fertility levels of women living in urban areas. On the other hand, as the proportion of women with Kurdish origin increases, total fertility rate increases.

HDP’s charismatic leader, Selahattin Demirtas, has been in prison on terror charges since November 2016. A total of 11 HDP lawmakers and 84 mayors have been removed from their jobs. And Erdoğan keeps showing the Kurds a big stick rather than an olive branch. “Judicial proceedings against HDP will be very tense,” he threatened on Feb. 26. “New files may arrive anytime, because everything they do constitutes a crime.”

Erdoğan faces difficult choices. To win the presidential race in 2023, he will need his nationalist ally’s staunch support. That support will come only if he maintains his hawkish posture against the Kurds and Kurdish politics. And that will come at a cost: more and more Kurdish voters, increasingly urban and well-educated, do not see a future in Erdoğan’s Turkey.

U Istanbulu zadnje parlamentarne izbore kurdska stranka HDP dobila 13% glasova. Znaci i Istanbul ima 13% etnocentrickih Kurda, a zamislite kako je na istoku Turske. Plus koliko jos ih je glasalo za Erdogana, jer su im Kemalisti jos gori.








Nigdje turske zastave.

Mislio sam da za 5-6 godina ulaze u mortalitet ogromne generacije rodjene neposredno nakon II svjetskog rata - ciji ce biti vrhunac biti negdje za 15-20 godina.

U samoj Turskoj vjerojatno ima tek 55 milijuna etnickih Turaka, minimalnog prirodnog prirastaja koji ce uskoro isceznuti, a ako se uzme u obzir emigracija vjerojatno broj etnickih Turaka blago pada tamo,

Populacijski su etnicki Turci kao Ukrajina, ekonomija slabija od Rumunjske, no imaju predsjednika koji je odlucan obnoviti Otomansko carstvo.

Biden je rekao da ako pobjedi da ce kazniti Tursku, citaj aktivirat ce se Plan Kurdistan.

https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2020/08/16 ... president/

Samo upišite u gugl
Joe Biden kurds
on doslovno obožava kurde, kod Turaka u Bosni će biti
Slavili pad Kolinde a dobili Milanovića..

Reuf Bajrović, a i dobar dio msulimana, ne vole Trumpa jer jednostavno tip ne voli islam i muslimane. Nema to direktne veze sa OHR Protektoratom.
Džihadisti (što Bajrović jest inače nije musliman) od 2 kafira biraju uvijek onog koji je manja opasnost za islam.

Turska je primer da globalisti maze i neguju sve države u susedstvu Rusije dok god ne pređu 50 miliona stanovnika i ne postanu samostalni igrači.

prekrasno

Vise BiH zastava na skupovima SNSD, nego turskih zastava na kurdskim politickim skupovima u Turskoj.

Kurdi su na putu da preuzmu cijelu Tursku. Za par desetljeća bit će većina. Uspostava Kurdistana bi više pomogla Turcima.
Ameri neće tražiti mirno razdvajanje nego će rasplamsavati ratni sukob.

Aktiviranje Kurdistana i otvoreno pomaganje Kurdima u Turskoj "protiv rezima" je nesto sto stoji na raspolaganju i Amerikancima i Rusima, ako bude potrebe.

Ako u Istanbulu ima 13% nacionalisticki orjentiranih Kurda, to znaci da je minimum 20% Kurda u Turskoj i vjerojatno cine oko 35% rodjenih.

https://besacenter.org/perspectives-pap ... ingmakers/
Što se tiče odnosa kurda i kemalista.. svi kurdi 2023 će glasati za kemalistu, još kad se ukljući Biden sa potporom.. nekako mislim da su sačuvali Turke u Libiji da ih mogu 2023 biden@macron i ekipa satrati i tako uništiti ugled Erdogana kod svojih..

Pitanje je da li će Erdo mirno prepustiti vlast??

Kako Mesić reče za Karamarka da je politički mrtvac samo to još ne zna.. Ista stvar sa Tayyipom..