Kako možeš da živiš okružen idiotima?

Bi li ti dao 10% ekonomije za HercegBosnu?

Mislim da je i centralna banka Rusije procjenila oko 10-tak,

Everywhere else, it would be considered an economic disaster. On Friday, April 29, the governor of the Russian Central Bank, Elvira Nabioullina, announced that she expected a recession of 8% to 10% in 2022 for her country, with inflation peaking at 18% to 23%.

Brojka od 15 iz drugih procjena u slučaju jačih sankcija.

nije kako god isto kao Njemačka "stagnacija" od 2 posto rasta, ili u slučaju naglog embarga 2 posto recesije, a u tom slučaju i Rusi padaju više, a drugi od većih su manje ovisni o Rusima od Njemačke.

To još se uopće ne uzima u obzir kad Zapad prestane uzimat ruske energente.

Kako god, Rusi će past ispod Španjolske po veličini ekonomije i izgubit sav rast od devedesetih ako ovo potraje godinama, a ja bi rekao da hoće.

Da, kad bi to bilo samo to.

A Kina isto može ići od blagog rasts do blage recesije u najgorem slučaju.

Amerika i Kina neće bitno promijenit odnos snaga u skoroj budućnosti, jedino će Rusija oslabit.

Rusima je nada da će Kina pokupovat sve energente i pretvorit ih u ovisnike.

A hoće li baš sve, hoće li išta, hoće li po istoj cijeni, koliko je skuplji transport, ima li pipa do Kine...

With China firmly on a zero-Covid trajectory, concerns are turning to ‘growth recession’ risks

Beijing’s steadfast adherence to rigid citywide lockdowns to combat the highly contagious Omicron coronavirus variant is gradually changing the narrative, with questions shifting from how far will the central government go, to how big of an economic hit the country can afford to take.

There are abundant suggestions in economic circles that the world’s second-largest economy is seeing its growth path undermined as Beijing prioritises saving lives at all costs.
...

Some are pointing to rising instability among the nation’s most vulnerable groups. Others warn of a “growth recession” – very slow economic growth accompanied by rising unemployment.

And some say China is at risk of a double-dip recession, similar to what the US saw in the early 1980s – a recession, followed by expansion, followed by recession again.
...

The latest pandemic waves have plagued dozens of Chinese cities, with the mobility of people and goods greatly restricted. Total cases reported since March, including asymptomatic infections, have surpassed 600,000 – far more than during the initial outbreak in Wuhan in early 2020. The month-long lockdown of 25 million people in Shanghai, a national commercial hub, generated considerable outcry. In contrast, major Western economies have chosen to live with the virus, with their daily lives and economic activities gradually returning to a relatively normal state following vaccinations.

Scissors said the negative effects in China will be reflected in “quite poor” national economic figures for the second quarter, and this could put investor expectations in a tailspin. “The danger is Covid lockdowns and other economic weaknesses extending into the third quarter. That would depress results for 2022 and cause businesses and consumers to see Covid as a greater future risk, depressing their activity in 2023 as well,” he warned.

“China will face greater uncertainty and larger shocks than those from the 2008-09 global financial crisis if the overlapping impact of the coronavirus epidemic spreads, [and if] the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict and the China-US macro policy divergence cannot be reversed,” Wang Yongli, a former vice-president at the Bank of China, one of the Big Four state-owned banks, wrote in an article posted on Sina.com last month. Wang warned of the risks of a sharp economic downturn and severe stagflation. “The challenges may be comparable to the economic overheating and financial chaos that erupted in 1998-99,” he added, referring to the tumultuous period following the Asian financial crisis. “We must stay on high alert and make policy preparations for major shocks.”
...

“It seems, to me, impossible to shut down Shanghai for such a long period of time and honestly make the planned GDP numbers,” said David Zweig, a professor emeritus with the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology.

Sheng Songcheng, former head of the Chinese central bank’s statistics department, said the second-quarter GDP growth is likely to slow to around 2.1 per cent from 4.8 per cent in the first quarter.
...
https://amp.scmp.com/economy/china-econ ... re-turning

Koja euforija pred pad ekonomije od 10-15% do kraja godine.

Mal si čovjek ali veliki fake.
https://markets.businessinsider.com/new ... ble-2022-5

Dobro, po njima 8.5%

Jedan od vodecih svjetskih ekonomskih autoriteta

Rusija od sutra prekida isporuku plina Finskoj.