Ja se nadam da Amerika neće uspjeti i u nogometu. Bili bi nepodnošljivi.

Zapravo me i ovaj napredak doboko pogodio.

Južna i Latinska Amerika dominira. Šta se ovo mijenja u svjetskom nogometu? Prije su svjetska prvenstva bila Europa+Brazil i Argentina.

Čemu čuđenje ? Engleska, Italija, Španjolska.... ne znam tko je u lošijoj formi. A tu smo i mi sa nedefiniranom taktikom. Hrvatska sa razinom igre iz 1998.g. bi osvojila ovo prvenstvo.

navijam za Grke, kakvi carevi. vec ih vidim u cetvrtfinalu, a onda pocinje show. osvetit ce sve Europljane.

Nije ni Obala Bjelokosti nešto više zaslužila prolaz, ništa posebno nisu odigrali. Japanci dosta lijepo igraju, no fali im kvalitete. Uglavnom, prolazak Grčke nije takva nepravda.

S druge strane, Kolumbija i njene polukontre su nešto fantastično, kako nama fali napadač poput Jamesa Rodrigueza, koji će si sam stvoriti šansu.

navijam za Grke, kakvi carevi. vec ih vidim u cetvrtfinalu, a onda pocinje show. osvetit ce sve Europljane.

za Grcku navijaju samo pravi muskarci.

Doduše kad vidim kriminalnu facu onog Italijana mogu samo reći Go Suarez.

25th JUNE DAY 14: GAMES 41-44

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We are getting towards the end of the Group stage, which means we are facing some dead rubbers. Subsequently this needs to be factored into any potential trades as winning matches may or may not be the primary goal of the combatants.

BEST TRADES FOR DAY 14

GAME 41: LAY the HT score in the Correct Score Market if <@$5.00

GAME 42: BACK Under 2.5 goals @$1.90 or above.

GAME 43: BACK Switzerland @$1.70 or above (hoping for a drift).

GAME 43: LAY the HT score in the Correct Score Market if <@$5.00

GAME 43: BACK Over 2.5 goals @$1.99 or above (hoping for a drift)

GAME 44: BACK France @$1.75 or above (hoping for a drift)

GAME 44: LAY the HT score in the Correct Score Market if <@$5.00

GAME 44: BACK Over 2.5 goals @$2.10 or above (hoping for a drift)

GAME 43-44: WIN Multi; Switzerland-France @$2.80 or above

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GAME 41: Nigeria (Ranked 44th) vs Argentina (5th)

Nigeria $9.40
Argentina $1.54
Draw $4.00

Under 2.5 Goals $2.06
Over 2.5 Goals $1.94

This is the shoot out for top spot in Group F and a likely R16 match against Switzerland. The runner up in the Group will most likely face France in the next round (see Games 43 & 44). A draw will mean both qualify, Argentina 1st, Nigeria 2nd. A win to Nigeria will reverse the placings. A loss to Nigeria means they are at the mercy of Iran, who if they win will go through in their place. Both sides will want to win and that makes it a match of genuine interest.

Argentina is the public market’s second favourite to win the title. Any team with the names Messi & Aguero in the line up is going to have a lot of public support. Argentina (P26/W17/D7/L2) has been in imposing form and importantly they have started to sure up their defence. Their overall record is slightly better than qualifying (P16/W9/D5/L2) as it was in these matches where they suffered two defeats (Uruguay and Venezuela). They have wins against Chile and Colombia and opened the World Cup with a 2-1 win against Bosnia. They were held until the last few minutes by Iran, eventually winning 1-0. Their last 10 games have been imperious (W8/D2/L0). Over the form period they have scored 54 goals, conceded 19, averaging 2.81 goals per game. Over 58% of games go over 2.5 goals. Their P15 Index of 0.822 indicates that early goals are probable, if not a certainty.

Nigeria were held to a 0-0 draw against Iran in their opening match and were lucky to get past Bosnia 1-0 in the second. Nigeria (P38/W17/D15/L6) has been competitive in recent matches. They draw a lot of games. In qualifying (P8/W5/D3/L0) they only conceded once in the first half and scored in the second stanza of every match. There recent form (P17/W9/D6/L2) is solid, if not spectacular. They have drawn with Iran, Greece (0-0 of course), Mexico, Ghana and Scotland and suffered a close loss to the USA. Over the recent period their matches have averaged 2.65 goals per game, boosted by some large wins against awful African opponents. If we look at their recent form against sides of some pedigree their matches are averaging a total of 1.40 goals per game. A P15 Index of 0.606 indicates early goals will be most unlikely.

As with all of the final Group contests, the individual match dynamics are going to play a strong role in what we do. Argentina is yet to live up to the pre-tournament billing. They have struggled to get the two results thus far. As with Brazil when they played Cameroon, Argentina will need to find top gear in this match, as they don’t want to be faltering from here on. They will be looking to play expansive football, and importantly win. Nigeria have scored only five goals in their last eight games and this is going to be an issue again as one would envisage that Argentina will get at least one goal. A 1-0 win to Nigeria will do them just fine. It is probably all they can expect as well.

Nigeria ($9.09) Argentina ($1.69) Draw ($3.33)

Under normal circumstances we would be all over trading Under 2.5 goals as we expect a slow start. The big unknown is whether Argentina has another gear. If they do, then they could turn it on and Messi et al could turn up early and put the game beyond doubt and ruin our favourite Under 2.5 goal trade. We are going to leave it alone, but will be watching closely to see if Argentina can up the ante. We don’t like sitting on the fence but we may have to here. Any potential trades might be dictated by what is happening in the other match. If Iran gets in front then Nigeria will have to push for a win to ensure qualification. This will mean the match will open up and then we can trade based on a more open game. If Iran is winning or level at HT then we will look for a second half goal.

BACKING:
1. LAY the HT score in the Correct Score Market if <@$5.00
GAME 42: Bosnia (Ranked 21st) vs Iran (43rd)

Bosnia $2.12
Iran $3.80
Draw $3.70

Under 2.5 Goals $1.90
Over 2.5 Goals $2.12

Bosnia was good (and unlucky) in the opener against Argentina. They were awful against Nigeria; slow, lethargic and for the most part looking disinterested. For all the talk about attacking football, it was not there. They are going home and have nothing to play for. Iran, have played as expected. Keep it 0-0 for as long as possible and try and steal a game with a solitary goal. It almost worked against Argentina, and it will be put to the test again in this match.

Bosnia overall (P17/W11/D1/L5) and in qualifying (P10/W8/D1/L1) was good. They qualified via a group including Greece, Latvia, and Liechtenstein et al; hardly blue chip opposition. They did however qualify in style. Their recent form (P8/3W/0D/5L) has been indifferent with close losses to USA, Egypt, Nigeria and Argentina (twice) and good wins against Mexico, Ivory Coast and Slovenia. 65% of their matches have gone over 2.5 goals, but this does include the four qualifying matches against Lativa and Liechtenstein where 24 goals were scored. Remove these games and 50% of games go over 2.5 goals. Digging a bit deeper by removing those games that have 3rd goals after the 80th minute and only 25% of matches have over 2.5 goals. They keep it tight for a long time. Their P15 Index rating of 0.387 is very low, indicating a tight, defensive start to most of their matches. Over the form period they have conceded only five goals in the first half.

Iran (P30/W16/D9/L5) has solid recent form, which has carried on since qualifying (P16/W9/D4/L3). The problem is that they have not played many teams of merit. The highest ranked teams they have played over the form card period (prior to the last match) have been Montenegro (51st) and Nigeria (44th) in the first World Cup match. Losses to Guinea (52nd), Uzbekistan (59th) & Lebanon (125th) provide a decent metric by which to gauge their prospects. That said, the last match against Argentina showed that their tactics could work. Was it a one off? Can it be replicated? Over the form period they have kept 15 clean sheets, having conceded only 8 goals in first half action. They will “park the bus” and will look to defend, defend and defend. They are not enterprising but they are good being just that!! They will look to score from set pieces or on the break. Their P15 Index of 0.417 is one of the lowest on record indicating the propensity for early goals to be very rare. A 0-0 result would normally see them very happy. They will want a 1-0 win in this match.

Bosnia ($2.22) Iran ($3.33) Draw ($4.00)

This will be a slow burning match. Bosnia might throw caution to the wind and try an attack given that they have nothing to lose. Iran however, will not want to concede as they struggle to score a goal at anytime. If they need to score two then they might as well go home now. It will be tight early and over the course of the match Iran will look to steal a goal on the counter attack, from a corner or similar. The Draw is no use to either side. This leads us to a couple of trades.


TRADING:
1. Back Under 2.5 goals @$1.90 or above (hoping for a drift). Reduce your liability and let it ride.
2. LAY the DRAW @$3.70 or less

BACKING:
1. BACK 0-0 in the HT Correct Score Market @$4.00

SPECULATOR:
We are confident that if Iran is to win, it will be 1-0. The 1-0 Correct Score is $8.00. LAY Iran in the Match Odds Market and BACK them at $8.00. Do the mathematics to figure it out for a small play.


GAME 43: Honduras (Ranked 33rd) vs Switzerland (6th)

Honduras $8.40
Switzerland $1.49
Draw $4.70

Under 2.5 Goals $2.28
Over 2.5 Goals $1.77

Under 3.5 Goals $1.52
Over 2.5 Goals $2.86

Honduras can still qualify BUT…they need France to beat Ecuador (probable) and they need to beat Switzerland by plenty (unlikely). If Switzerland win well then they probably do not have to worry about the France vs Ecuador match. If Ecuador and Switzerland win goal difference will be the key. This match matters.

Honduras (P31/W11/D9/L11) and in qualifying (P16/W7/D5/L4) are competent but unspectacular and inconsistent. They have losses to Panama, Cost Rica (twice) USA, Israel and Trinidad on their recent form card balanced by wins against Mexico, Costa Rica and the USA. They were clumsy, violent and outclassed against France in the first match when $14.00 outsiders. They did manage to stick with France for most of the first half, but that was more through fortune rather than finesse. Against Ecuador they took the lead but wilted in the second half, losing 2-1. There is a strong bias in their games for second half goals. The P15 Index of 0.730 indicates a slowish start is the norm for Honduras matches. 40% of their recent games have ended up over 2.5 goals. They need to throw caution to wind in this match and win by as many as possible.

Switzerland (P17/W11/D5/L2) has been rock solid except for the aberration last match when they went 3-0 down early to France and never recovered; losing 5-2. In qualifying they were peerless: (P10/W7/D3/L0). Over the form period they have scored 28 and conceded 16, with nine in two matches making the concession statistic a little misguided. 71% of their matches have finished with less than 2.5 goals. There is a marginal bias for second half goals. Over the same period there have been only two games where no second half goal was scored (by either team). They have beaten Brazil, drawn with Croatia and have kept 11 clean sheets in recent games. Their P15 Index is low at 0.649 borne out by the fact that in all of their recent matches only 3/37 goals that have been scored have been before the 15 minute mark.

Honduras ($14.50) Switzerland ($1.47) Draw ($4.00)

This is a “live” match in that both sides need to win, and preferably win comfortably. The Draw may work for Switzerland but they wont want to take that chance. Switzerland will be methodical and disciplined, Honduras the opposite. Whilst both sides need to win well it will start relatively slowly and then open up. This will provide perfect match dynamics for Switzerland who will counter punch. This leads to a few obvious trades.

TRADING:
1. BACK Switzerland @$1.70 or above (hoping for a drift).

2. BACK Over 2.5 goals @$1.99 or above (hoping for a drift). Look to trade out with a bias to 2nd half goals after the anticipated slow start.

BACKING:
1. LAY the HT score in the Correct Score Market if <@$5.00
2. WIN Multi: Switzerland- France @$2.80 or above

GAME 44: Ecuador (Ranked 26th) vs France (17th)

Ecuador $5.80
France $1.67
Draw $4.30

Under 2.5 Goals $2.30
Over 2.5 Goals $1.75

A draw in this match and a loss to Switzerland in the other will see Ecuador through. Ecuador can remove all doubt re qualifying with a strong win. The winner of this Group gets Iran or Nigeria in the next; the second placed team gets Argentina (assuming) Nigeria does not beat Argentina). We will know the fate of Argentina and Nigeria before kick off so we will know where we stand. France is through but don’t want Argentina. Both teams will look to win. It is an attractive match for us. The last time they played France won 2-0.

Ecuador (P27/W11/D8/L9) has had recent losses to Mexico, Spain, Germany, Chile, Colombia and Argentina to add to their loss to Switzerland on opening day. They have scored 43 goals and conceded 38 over this period. Defence is an issue. Their best recent result was a 3-2 win over Portugal (discounting the win against Honduras). Recent draws with Argentina, England and Netherlands have also been commendable. They are below the top tier of sides. Prior to victory over Honduras; albeit in a friendly they only recorded one win, against Australia in their last five outings – coming from 0-3 at half time to win 4-3. Their games have averaged 2.90 goals with 50% of them going over 2.5 goals. There is no bias towards second half goals over their recent form. Their P15 Index of 0.923 indicates an early goal is a slightly less than average chance of happening.

The recent form card of France is solid (P21/W12/D4/L5). In qualifying it was marginally better: (P10/W6/D2/L2). Over the form period they have scored 48 goals, conceding just 17, with a strong bias to second half goals. France has warmed up before the Cup with 4W/1D from their last five encounters. Importantly they have found their scoring boots, scoring 21 and conceding a solitary goal. Their opening win against Honduras was solid, not spectacular. It took them the entire first half to take the lead and then against 10 men they could only manage two goals in the second half. They were awesome against Switzerland putting the game beyond doubt in the first half. Their P15 Index is one of the lowest at 0.277 indicating a propensity for slow starts.

The two sides have common recent form, having both played against Australia, Honduras, Netherlands, Switzerland and Germany. Ecuador (2W/1D/2L) has inferior form than France (4W/1L) and that dictates how we think this match will go. In their opening match against Switzerland the public market rated Ecuador a $3.30 chance. We had them at $5.88. France has proven to be better than Switzerland, by a margin.

Ecuador ($8.33) France ($1.54) Draw ($4.17)

This match will have goals as Ecuador will assume they must win. France does not know how to play defensively and in Benzema they have a player who can win the Golden Boot. We see France winning and there being Over 2.5 goals, pointing to a couple of obvious trades.


TRADING:
1. BACK France @$1.75 or above (hoping for a drift).

2. BACK Over 2.5 goals @$2.10 or above (hoping for a drift). Look to trade out with a bias to 2nd half goals after the anticipated slow start.

BACKING:
1. LAY the HT score in the Correct Score Market if <@$5.00
2. WIN Multi: Switzerland- France @$2.80 or above

za Grcku navijaju samo pravi muskarci.

E sad neznam dali si pravu riječ upotrebio.Hm za Grčku navijaju "određeni"muškarci.

Ekipa koja ima više sreće nego pameti,koja sa neregularnim penalom ide dalje.Žao mi je "slonovaca"
Nadam se da će Grčka sve utakmice izgubiti.