Zadnje dvoje izbore (2008. i 2012.) Demokrati su dobili više nego su ankete pokazale za 1 - 1,5 poen! Ne bih ja to uzeo kao aksiom, da Republikanci dobivaju u pravilu više glasova na izborima, nego što to ankete pokazuju.

Stvar demografije, tada su ankete imale manji broj crnaca nego u realnosti, danas veći, manji broj mladih, danas veći itd.
Inače, jedina anketa koja je dla OBami realnu prednost je bila ova od LA Timesa gdje Trump rastura.

Gotovo je. Trump gubi nakon ovoga.

Pennsylvania nosi 20 glasova. Ako Floridu, NC i Pennssylvania Trump uzme, mogla bi biti pobjeda.

Ima li u USA predizborne šutnje?

Je li ono Ohio bila država koju je posljednjih nekoliko puta kandidat morao osvojiti i svaki put je postao predsjednikom?

Ohio nosi 18 elektrora i toss-up je država. Znači nije još siguran za nikoga, iako Clintonica mensečini vodi po anketama.

Je li ono Ohio bila država koju je posljednjih nekoliko puta kandidat morao osvojiti i svaki put je postao predsjednikom?

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania would be a critically important pick up for Trump. Clinton currently leads an average of 2.4% in the state.

That’s in the margin for error of most polls, and the most recent poll in the state, by Harper, found the race was a tie. Clinton led in the four polls before that one either 2 or 4 percentage points.

Nevada

Trump leads in Nevada by an average 2%, but that’s in the margin of error, and local news analysis of early voting trends has found they are favorable for Clinton.

The three most recent polls showed the race a tie, and Trump leading by 6 and 4. A surge in Latino turnout is keeping this one close in a state where most people early vote.

New Hampshire

Trump leads an average 1.6%, which is a big gain in the past week. However, the race is still in the margin of error for most polls.

The most recent poll, from Gravis, shows Trump up 2. The last four polls showed two ties and a Trump lead of 5 and 1.

New Hampshire remains very close, but recent polling has been good news for Trump.

North Carolina

Similar to New Hampshire, Trump now leads an average 1.5% in North Carolina, which is considered by most to be a must-win state for him.

That’s in the margin of error for most polls, though. There have been two polls since Comey’s letter, and he leads by 5 and 7. Democrats have been concerned about African-American turnout in North Carolina.

Florida

Clinton leads Florida by an average of 1%, but that’s down slightly from the day before. Polling out of Florida has consistently shown the race to be deadlocked in this must-win state.

The most recent poll out of Florida, by CBS News, showed the race to literally be a tie. Clinton led 4 and 3 and Trump led by 4 in the most recent polls before that one. The CBS poll found Trump voters had higher enthusiasm than Clinton voters.

Half of voters felt Clinton’s emails were bad and worse than anything they had heard about Trump. Another 15% felt the emails were bad but Trump was worse. Another 35% didn’t think the emails were a big deal. However, 62% didn’t think Trump was prepared to be president. Forty-two percent thought Trump had ties to the Russian government. In many ways, voters viewed both candidates negatively.

CNN's Fareed Zakaria delivered an impassioned monologue Sunday, in which he underlined why he would not be voting for Donald Trump on November 8.

Zakaria has made no secret in the past of his opposition to the Republican presidential candidate, but he emphasized in an op-ed for The Washington Post and on his show "GPS" that he wanted to explain "one last time why Donald Trump is worth special attention."
"I am not a highly partisan person. I have views that are left of center, but others that are conservative," Zakaria said.
"I think well of many Republican politicians, including the last two GOP presidential nominees, John McCain and Mitt Romney, both of whom are honorable men and would have been good presidents."
"Donald Trump is different," Zakaria said.
"Not just because he is obnoxious, tacky and vulgar, or that his business dealings show him to be a scam artist. He is different because of what he believes."
Zakaria insisted that Trump's views on policy issues, from social security to taxes, were "insincere" and simply "reflections of what he thinks his supporters want to hear."
Instead, he said, voters should look at his past in order to understand his true beliefs, values and instincts.
Referencing Trump's years as a property developer and his treatment of "The Central Park Five," Zakaria condemned what he called Trump's history of "racism."
"Trump seems to believe deeply in ethnic stereotypes," he said.
In addition, Zakaria continued, Trump has "also always been a protectionist."
"The common thread is that Trump is quick to tell Americans facing economic hardship that they should blame their problems on foreigners," Zakaria said.
The CNN anchor also criticized Trump's attitude and behavior toward women.
"He has said and done dozens of things over 30 years that confirm this demeaning view of women -- in interviews with Howard Stern, during his ownership of the Miss Universe pageant, when describing working women and when debating female candidates like Carly Fiorina and Hillary Clinton," he said.
In addition, Zakaria said, Trump has "contempt for many of the foundations of liberal democracy," from banning Muslims from entering America to threatening to jail his opponent if he is elected.
"Donald Trump is not a normal candidate. He is a cancer on American democracy," Zakaria concluded.
"And that is why I will vote against him next Tuesday."