Original article from the Foreign Affairs magazine...

There is no way to stop Bosnia and Herzegovina from falling apart, there are only 2 scenarios.

The first one is that RS declares independence while EU still exists, and there will be a peaceful dissolution od Bosnia and Herzegovina.

The second one is that in the next 15 years Bosnia and Herzegovina gets into the EU and when the EU crumbles into pieces, there will be a conflict again, this time much worse.

I would give EU about 20 years max.

About this silly foreign articles about Bosnia and Herzegovina, you can read every week an article from some specialist on foreign affairs how B&H will fall apart soon.

The Yanks are slowly, albeit very slowly coming to the conclusion that "nation-building" is a process doomed to fail. Interesting fact noted in the article was that Bosnia & Herzegovina received 5x more financial aid per capita ($300 per person) than Afghanistan.

On a positive note, they called Haris Silajdzic a "chauvinist" (alongside Dodik), however, they still don't really get to the crux of the problem.

There is a lot of generic talk about "nationalists", "corrupt elites", "Bosnians", "strengthening the central government" so on and so forth, and a ridiculous suggestion that even more pressure needs to be applied to Zagreb and Belgrade so that they can pull their proteges in line.

All misplaced and way too simplistic observations which keep on implying that the people of Bosnia and Herzegovina would live happily ever after if only these pesky "nationalist elites" could be done away with.