Ovaj izvještaj jednostavno MORATE pročitati

Predugačko je i još na engleskom, naporno mi je za čitanje, možeš li izvući neki sažetak na hrvatskom, ako nije problem?

Pa u biti dužina teksta i je prednost - radi se o opsežnom pregledu ekonomske situacije u Hrvatskoj, Srbiji i Makedoniji (vrlo malo o BiH).

Predviđaju devalvaciju kune do 35%...

Kontroliranu ili spontanu?

In terms of how we expect the looming currency crisis in Emerging Europe to play out, we feel that one of
the Baltic Three, most likely Latvia, will be first to concede its peg. When it does others are sure to follow.
Indeed, Latvia could fall victim to more than one peg realignment. The key point is that with the fall of one
pegged currency, it will not be long until another falls, then another. The reality is that once investor
confidence is shaken by the breaking of a currency peg the fear of others triggers capital flight and so causes
more pegs to go. Currencies around the region are presently being held aloft by a fragile confidence. Some
readers will view our currency concerns as exaggerated. They may point to the localised nature of falls in the
Hungarian forint and Romanian leu, both EU economies. They may also point to the relatively short-lived
and limited nature of the falls in these currencies, helped by the swiftness of intervention, notably by the
IMF. Whilst we are perfectly aware of this, we would caution against complacency. Those currencies that
have come under pressure are not formally managed; neither Hungary nor Romania operate a strict peg to
the euro. It is when a currency board or formal peg is compromised that contagion will start to be seen. For
the Western Balkans, with their structurally weaker economies, currency falls could prove more significant
than anywhere else across Emerging Europe.

In short, there is little realistic chance of avoiding a sequence of events that leads to a sharp fall in
the currencies of the West Balkan Four against the euro. Slow it? Yes. Stop it? No.

As necessary as it is for the region's currencies to become more competitive, the immediate consequences
will of course be unpleasant. Alongside fuelling inflation, weakening currencies will frighten away foreign
capital, exacerbating currency declines. Borrowing costs will move sharply higher, causing further hurt to
domestic economies.

Wow, 38 preuzimanja, courtesy of Dudu i reklame na onom tamo forumu koji nije ni do koljena ovom

Pa u biti dužina teksta i je prednost - radi se o opsežnom pregledu ekonomske situacije u Hrvatskoj, Srbiji i Makedoniji (vrlo malo o BiH).

Predviđaju devalvaciju kune do 35%...

Ma budale...

U Americi vise nitko ne slusa te ekonomske "analiticare".


Kad armije tih "analiticara" nisu bile u stanje predvidjeti naznake ovakve krizetine, postavlja se pitanje - sta su ti ljudi u stanju ?

Formularizirati za casopise ono sto se prica po cesti i za to dobivati honorare ?

Ma budale...

U Americi vise nitko ne slusa te ekonomske "analiticare".


Kad armije tih "analiticara" nisu bile u stanje predvidjeti naznake ovakve krizetine, postavlja se pitanje - sta su ti ljudi u stanju ?

Formularizirati za casopise ono sto se prica po cesti i za to dobivati honorare ?